Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.116977 0.130440 0.144213 0.159316 0.175374 0.191900 0.210156
2024-10-13 0.099363 0.118009 0.137797 0.160227 0.184817 0.210832 0.240316
2024-10-20 0.085463 0.107606 0.131901 0.160247 0.192135 0.226640 0.266545
2024-10-27 0.073449 0.097948 0.125704 0.158969 0.197269 0.239539 0.289280
2024-11-03 0.065037 0.091541 0.122468 0.160430 0.205026 0.255074 0.314821
2024-11-10 0.059203 0.087591 0.121615 0.164267 0.215245 0.273265 0.343359
2024-11-17 0.052266 0.081598 0.117764 0.164093 0.220434 0.285452 0.364913
2024-11-24 0.048141 0.078787 0.117507 0.168013 0.230316 0.303023 0.392701
2024-12-01 0.043349 0.074641 0.115212 0.169132 0.236610 0.316239 0.415349
2024-12-08 0.038518 0.069993 0.111911 0.168688 0.240765 0.326754 0.434723
2024-12-15 0.034762 0.066505 0.109862 0.169612 0.246445 0.338997 0.456100
2024-12-22 0.030806 0.062354 0.106625 0.168752 0.249703 0.348172 0.473725
2024-12-29 0.028431 0.060460 0.106465 0.172012 0.258354 0.364222 0.500049
2025-01-05 0.025487 0.057396 0.104457 0.172652 0.263558 0.375985 0.521191
2025-01-12 0.022612 0.054147 0.101966 0.172468 0.267578 0.386217 0.540452
2025-01-19 0.019704 0.050519 0.098680 0.170995 0.269773 0.394073 0.556749
2025-01-26 0.017811 0.048446 0.097564 0.172437 0.275744 0.406661 0.578908
2025-02-02 0.016669 0.047610 0.098259 0.176392 0.285054 0.423512 0.606427
2025-02-09 0.014729 0.045052 0.096118 0.176171 0.288673 0.433056 0.624817
2025-02-16 0.013834 0.044424 0.096969 0.180244 0.298100 0.450079 0.652641
2025-02-23 0.012458 0.042658 0.095877 0.181397 0.303498 0.461891 0.673925
2025-03-02 0.010926 0.040355 0.093759 0.180922 0.306587 0.470666 0.691358
2025-03-09 0.009779 0.038724 0.092653 0.181881 0.311609 0.481941 0.711972